A couple of disclaimers before we begin...
- This was done to the best of my ability, which if you know me isn't really saying much. There could be errors and of course various possibilities I over looked. (for example, I am assuming that there will be no forfeits on Wednesday).
- Refresher on tie breakers can be found here (scroll to the bottom of the standings).
JFK
Clinched no worse than #2 seed. Clinches #1 seed with a win or tie against Situation.
The Situation
Clinched no worse than #2 seed. Can earn the #1 seed with a double header sweep of CT and JFK.
Kick Ass
Owns the tie breaker over the Clockers due to their 4-1 head to head victory on Sept. 26th. In the drivers seat for the 3 seed as long as they take care of business against Rumspringa. A loss or tie could drop them to 4th if the Foot Snipers beat the Clockers.
5 O'Clockers
They could claim the #3 seed with a victory over the Snipeys and a KA loss or tie. A loss against the Snipers would most likely drop them to 5th place.
Foot Snipers
They can jump a couple of spots to #3 with a win against the Clockers and a KA loss/tie against 'Springa. A victory over the Clockers would boost them to #4 regardless of what happens in the KA/Rum game. Even a loss against the Clockers wouldn't hurt the Snipers, as they have clinched the #5 seed. The Snipers own the tie breaker over Free Ballin' thanks to a 7-0 victory on October 10th.
Free Ballin'
The Ballers currently sit in the #6 spot, and they'll need a win over PBJ in order to maintain that seed. A loss could potentially drop them significantly depending on how the other games play out. There is a possibility that their will be three teams with identical 6-5 records jockeying for position. From there it would come down to runs against and with Free Ballin's 3.36 runs per game average currently, they could fall as far as the 9 seed.
Burning Bridges
The Bridges are 5-3-2 and have a big game against Pitch Please in week 13. A 'W' will secure the 7th seed, and could move them up to the 6th seed with a Free Ballin' loss to PBJ. A loss to Pitch Please would knock the Burning Bs down as far as the 9 seed.
The Ballsacks are another one of those teams right in the middle of the pack. A victory over the Chubby Gangsters in week 13 puts them above .500 at 6-5. They could make it as high as #6 if Free Ballin' and the Bridges lose and the runs against stay in the same range as they are now. A stumble against the Chubby Gangsters would be costly. A tie or loss could see them slide to as low as 11th if Rumspringa and Pitch Please both win (although in reality, they won't go farther than 10th place unless they really get blown out by CG since they currently have a 14 runs allowed advantage over 'Springa).
Peanut Butter Jelly Time
Another 5-5 squad, the Jellies could do themselves some favors with a good showing against Free Ballin'. A purple win could move them up as high as 6th with a Bridges loss and a Battlestar loss or tie. If the Jelly wins and Battlestar wins, that will put them in a 3 way tie along with Free Ballin', each with 6-5 records. The tie breaker would come down to runs allowed. Currently PBJ has the worst RAPG (4.09) of the three and would maintain 8th or 9th place. A loss to Free Ballin' could put them down two spots to #11 if Rumspringa and Pitch Please both win (Rumspringa holds the tie breaker of PBJ thanks to a week 3 head to head victory).
Pitch Please!
That week 5 forfeit for the Double Ps really hurt the Pitches seeding (Forfeits carry a -0.75 penalty on a team's winning percentage). A victory over the Burning Bridges would give the Pitches a 0.477% win percentage. This would put them on the outside looking up potentially at a mixture of 6-5 teams. Best case scenario for PP sees them beating Bridges and having PBJ and Battlestar lose their games. That would push Pitch Please up to #8. A lose for Pitch Please could see them drop as low as 12th with a CG win and a Rumspringa win or tie.
Rumspringa
'Springa started out this season 1-6, but has gone on a bit of a run lately. They've climbed up to the 11th seed, and could pick up a few more spots if things fall their way. With a win vs. Kick Ass, they could jump up to 8th place with Battlestar and PBJ losses and PP loss or tie. Although in any scenario where there is a 3 way tie, it'd come down to runs allowed. Currently, 'Springa's 4.6 rapg is comparable to PBJ's 4.5 rapg, but well behind Battles 3.2 rapg. Worst case scenario, if Springa falls to KA, they could drop to 12th with a CG win over Battle. In the event of a Springa/KA draw and a CG win, both teams would finish with identical 4-6-1 records. Because the two teams have not played each other, the tie breaker would be decided by Runs Allowed. Rumspringa has a decisive advantage over CG in that regards, having allowed 11 less runs through the first 10 games to date.
Chubby Gangsters
The Gangbangers have clinched no worse than the 12 spot they currently occupy regardless of a loss on Wednesday (unless CT can pull a huge upset over The Sitch and sweep their double header). With a win, they do have an opportunity to move up a few spots into the top 10 if Rumspringa and Pitch Please lose.
Chicken Tetrazzini
If CT can shock the world by toppling The Sitch and defeating Wasted Talent in their week 13 double header, they will improve their seed by 1, with a CG loss. If they manage to only win one of the two games this week, they will still clinch the #13 seed. A loss of both games would leave them vulnerable to a slide as far as 14th with either a Foul Balls or NKotB victory (NKotB plays FB in week 13).
Foul Balls
The Foul Balls can move up a spot from 14th to 13th with a victory over NKotB and if CT loses both games of their double header. However, if CT loses both games of their double header and the Foulies tie NKotB, than both teams will have matching 1-8-2 records. Fitting since they both tied each other 0-0 in the first game of the season. With no head to head advantage, the tie breaker would go to runs allowed. CT holds a decisive lead in that category currently, so the Foulies will need to win in order to have any shot at moving up. On the flipside, a loss outright to NKotB would allow them to swap places.
New Kickheads
Easy scenario for the Kickheads. A win over the Foulies moves them into 14th. A loss or tie has no consequence as they have clinched no worse than 15th.
Wasted Talent
Because of their forfeit in week 10, the Waste has no opportunity to move up in the rankings even with a win and a NKotB loss. Captain Rodney Huffman will most likely be watching the JFK vs. Sitch game to see who they'll be matched up with in the first round on Saturday.
No comments:
Post a Comment